Very non-scientific data points:
- number of times got stranded by a manual transmission: Many, ruined/broken clutches, bushings, shifter cables
- number of times got stranded by an automated electronically controlled transmission: 0
- cost of maintaining manual transmission: $$$ Replaced many clutches/assemblies, shifter cables and bushings over the years, various cars
- cost of maintaining automatic DSG transmission: $40/40-60,000 miles, bought up others left over kits from dieselgate turn ins, enough for 200k miles. Own VCDS.
None of this has anything to do with what is coming though. Your past experiences and mine don't match at all. Manual transmissions are simpler but not foolproof or trouble free either.
Most of the stuff needed we already have on hand. Radar, HUD, Crash Avoidance, cruise control, navigation, etc...
Just needs greater integration and reliability worked in and some added infrastructure. I also see the time coming where people no longer own the vehicle. Just order up what they need for a fee.
Tell me you wouldn't want some of the newest prosthetics out there for hands, arms and legs now just because they are too complicated and you would rather just have a stub or nothing at all. Some of them are simply amazing in what they allow people to do to resume living a better life after life changing events.
These things are coming and not that far in the future. It will take some time for the old stuff to die out though. Enjoy it while you can!