It looks like this will be a relatively calm hurricane season, so there might not be a dip in offshore crude production or refinery shutdowns.
But this is the season for increased demand for distillates and a widening spread between gasoline and distillates. More tractors and combines in the farm fields, trucks hauling grain to elevators, locomotives hauling grain to terminals, tugboats hauling grain to ports. More school buses on the roads. And more demand for heating oil in some parts of the US, and in Europe to replace the natural gas shortages.
We might be seeing the lowest prices until next spring.