I know this is a late reply, but I could not help commenting on another Seth borenstien’s “fabrication”. I wouldn’t/ you cannot believe anything he writes. I had an unfortunate experience many years ago in the late 80’s with a story he wrote on my work. He attended a high management level gov briefing of my work(at well respected gov exploration agency) & interviewed me afterwards. lets say he got everything wrong. My briefing was not a PhD level scientific presentation, but something I had given many times to the general public & school kids. I had well over 100 TV & newspaper interviews & he was the only one that really screwed it up.This is just another B/S story. I saw a similar one a couple years ago written by Seth Borenstein where he stated that TDI's had killed over 5K people every year which is libel. Emissions on gas vehicles are plenty bad too and in most cases worse than diesel. Then there is the fact that multiple manufacturers were caught cheating over the years including Toyota, Honda, GM Ford etc. VW was crucified because it competed with the Prius.
I usually find that the more words that are used to describe a statistic the more meaningless it is. Especially when a completely arbitrary word like "early" is used to describe it."Findings published in the respected scientific journal Nature earlier this year revealed that a minimum of 38,000 people around the world die early every year as a result of the failure of diesel vehicles to meet official emissions limits in real driving conditions."
Give me a break!
Apparently, $30 BILLION is earmarked for Musk, in the new Budget. You can't make this **** up...Tesla is plagued with production problems, the "list" looks to me to be a nifty way to raise a bunch of capital to slow down the company's money bleeding problems, and does not necessarily mean all those people are actually wanting to buy them. Right now, there are a BUNCH of brand new 3s on the auction lots that were purchased by speculators... these people have no interest in the cars beyond trying to make a buck. They did the same thing with a bunch of other cars, too (the New Beetle was one of them).
And now the Elon Musk zealots have raised a bunch of cash to buy His Highness a new couch for his long days at work. Seriously. The guy just launched a car into space. The whole organization looks more and more like a ponzi scheme to me, and as someone else here said, he's one step away from a Bond villain.
I would have FAR more faith in a REAL car company designing, building, and selling an EV, but since there is not any strong urge to do so, they'll do it half hearted and/or right alongside the pump suckers that everyone else will actually buy.
Oh, and the "every man's Tesla", that was supposed to start at under $30k (already pretty pricey for me), quickly shot past that, and all the ones at auction are ones that sold new for nearly twice that. It will probably be another year before an entry level one is actually built and sold at an entry level price. But there are truckloads of them for sale all over for $55k+ that are barely used. So there is no need to "wait", you can have your choice of 100+ of them with less than 500 miles on them, LOL.
20 years until 100% of new vehicles are electric? What do you mean by 'game changer'?Infrastrucure on the electric grid to increase capacity along with overcoming barriers to mass production of vehicle batteries is likely a minimum of 20 years away to get to a scale to be a game changer. With heat waves and weather (hurricanes/fires/flash flooding) putting major strains/damaging the electric grid, let alone a significant growth of electric vehicles adding load to the grid, my 20 year guess may be light.
There's only a shortage between 4pm and 10pm. The other 18 hours of the day there's over 200GWh of energy available. Enough for over half of existing cars in the state to be electric. Really not a problem to charge between 10pm and 4pm instead of 4pm - 10pm...I am reading about California rationing electricity now without a big fleet of EV’s charging on top of the shortage now?