This tired old story again. The EPA regulations DO HELP our air. Anyone who has ever lived or been through CA knows this....
That may be true, but it's mostly because of lower NMHC/VOC emissions from gasoline vehicles that have been mandated by stricter emission standards. On-road diesel emissions really aren't as great as has been implied in Southern California even in 2000, which predated Tier 2/LEV II...
Lawson, D. R. "The Weekend Effect--the Weekly Ambient Emissions Control Experiment."
Environmental Manager, p. 19 (July 2003).
(ROG = reactive organic gases (i.e., NMHC/NMOG/VOC))
Highway Diesel contribution to anthropogenic emission inventory...
ROG - 12.5/1115.3 = 1.12%
NOx - 227/1164.9 = 19.5%
CO - 62.3/7063.6 = 0.88%
PM10 - 8.1/360.2 = 2.25%
Highway non-diesel contribution to anthropogenic emission inventory...
ROG - 529/1115.3 = 47.4%
NOx - 495/1164.9 = 42.5%
CO - 5508/7063.6 = 78.0%
PM10 - 23.3/360.2 = 6.49%
Even normalizing for approximately equal fuel consumption (based on the CARB publication "Proposed Regulation to Implement the Low Carbon Fuel Standard." Volume I, Staff Report: Initial Statement of Reasons, Release Date: March 5, 2009)...
ROG = 59.5 tons/day (Diesel Vehicles); 529 tons/day (Gasoline Vehicles)
NOx = 1081 tons/day (DV); 495 tons/day (GV)
CO = 297 tons/day (DV); 5508 tons/day (GV)
PM10 = 39 tons/day (DV); 23 tons/day (GV)
NOx is really the only criteria pollutant that diesel would have significantly increased under this scenario, but ROG emissions would have significantly decreased. ROG is the pollutant most responsible for ground-level ozone accumulation (i.e., "smog").
All urban areas have been in attainment with the NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) NAAQS (ambient standard) since 1998 (i.e., under Tier 1 standards), so further reductions in the NOx standards beyond expected increase in traffic was unnecessary in that regard (even Euro 5 would reduce NOx emissions by about 67% below Tier 1). IMHO, CARB and EPA would have been better served to just permit diesel vehicles that were Euro 5 compliant.
Also agree with rotarykid that we're approaching diminishing returns from any further reductions in diesel emissions, based on EPA data...
EPA emission inventory - projected percentage contribution to total anthropogenic criteria pollutant emissions by "Highway Diesel" (HD) and "Highway non-diesel" (HND) sources @ 2030...
PM2.5 - 0.5% (HD); 2.7% (HND)
NOx - 2.5% (HD); 12.2% (HND)
NMHC - 1.0% (HD); 20.8% (HND)
CO - 0.2% (HD); 45.0% (HND)
SOx - 0.1% (HD); 0.5% (HND)
Source: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Assessment and Standards Division, Office of Transportation and Air Quality, "Regulatory Impact Analysis: Control of Emissions of Air Pollution from Locomotive Engines and Marine Compression Ignition Engines Less than 30 Liters Per Cylinder." Tables 3-96 - 3-100 (Pages 3-108 - 3-112), EPA420-R-08-001a, May 2008
This is the anticipated contribution in 2030 based on standards that are
currently in place. And this is just ANTHROPOGENIC emissions, never mind biogenic/naturally-occurring emissions.