Electric vehicles (EVs), their emissions, and future viability

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bhtooefr

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True, I'm thinking of my fat rear end on my recumbent trike. I can push it up to about 24-27 on the steepest downhills I encounter around here, and my level ground cruising speed is 11-15.
 

VeeDubTDI

Wanderluster, Traveler, TDIClub Enthusiast
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Jul 2, 2000
Location
Springfield, VA
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‘18 Tesla Model 3D+, ‘14 Cadillac ELR, ‘13 Fiat 500e
Would never own a GM vehicle, but that aside I am not all that fond of its styling and it looks to have the typical horrific rear blind spot problems (which is common on a lot of new cars).
I cannot even PARK at work, let alone have a dedicated charging station just for me. Our lot is so small and crammed, we (employees) have to park at one of three adjacent buildings' lots. For what it would cost to run the electric to one of those places, I could fuel my Golf for a VERY long time.
I also drive a lot, which would mean piling miles on. Currently I can divide some of the mileage up between a few cars, largely because I am seemingly always fixing something up to sell. That requires driving it to and from work here and there. So that Bolt (or similar) would find itself sitting here and there. I am not sure how the longevity of the electrics will be if that happens a lot, but conversely I am not sure how the longevity in the real world will be either. The Golf has zero problems sitting for 3 days, then being driven 300 miles in one day, then sitting for a day, then being driven 100 miles a day for the next 10 days in succession. And it does so happily and reliably despite closing in on 17 years since it left the factory in Brazil and having covered [currently] 504,xxx miles. It was also cheap. Including its purchase in a well used state, the costs of the Great Untooefing, and the few (very few) items I have had to "fix" on it since then, I probably have less than $5k in it TOTAL.
And I can tow my trailer (or a another car ;) ) with it.
I can tag triple digit speeds in it (do this almost every morning).
I can blast the A/C and still accelerate UP hills, even with a trunk full of scrap.
Comfortable to drive, even for me, since Germans know how to make even small cars' interiors to accommodate full sized humans.
No exotic tire size, so I can enjoy 80k+ miles of real world treadlife without running them into the wear bars and putting myself in danger.
Brakes don't seem to ever wear out.
Very little nannyware (which I prefer).
I did like the electric Focus a lot one of our security guard fleets has. They are actually getting a couple more. They work well for them, we just need to make them understand that they need to come in every couple weeks to rotate the tires or they'll scorch right through the fronts (lots of parking lot driving in them). But they have to stop and changeout the cars mid shift, because they cannot go the whole time on a charge. Mainly because of HVAC demands, not so much range.
If the eGolf had the range and was cheap enough and was proven to last long enough, I would entertain that for sure. Even though I am still of the camp that thinks electrified ICE cars means too much compromise under most circumstances. But at least I could enjoy driving it. :)
Would a hypothetical 200-mile range VW E-Cross Polo work for you?

 

kjclow

Top Post Dawg
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2010 JSW TDI silver and black. 2017 Ram Ecodiesel dark red with brown and beige interior.
Would a hypothetical 200-mile range VW E-Cross Polo work for you?

That would be a bare minimum range for me. I could get to my daughter's college and back on a single charge, assuming no penalty for using hvac, or good recharge from braking. Her appartment is right at 100 miles door to door. I could probably plug in at the dealer close to her while we do other stuff. For use around town, that could mean having to charge every third to fourth day. Plus I have always thought VW should offer the Polo over here as more of an entry level car than the Jetta sedan.
 

oilhammer

Certified Volkswagen Nut & Vendor
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Location
outside St Louis, MO
TDI
There are just too many to list....
I'd love a Polo. Can it be had for $5k? :p

But yes, I'd consider any electric Volkswagen if I were in the market for a new car and it would work for me.

My last new car has been ordered already, however. And it is diesel powered. Maybe some day in the future if a cheap EV Polo was to stumble my way for cheap I'd take a gander. I doubt I will be driving that long.
 

VeeDubTDI

Wanderluster, Traveler, TDIClub Enthusiast
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Springfield, VA
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‘18 Tesla Model 3D+, ‘14 Cadillac ELR, ‘13 Fiat 500e
I'd love a Polo. Can it be had for $5k? :p

But yes, I'd consider any electric Volkswagen if I were in the market for a new car and it would work for me.

My last new car has been ordered already, however. And it is diesel powered. Maybe some day in the future if a cheap EV Polo was to stumble my way for cheap I'd take a gander. I doubt I will be driving that long.
New pricing on electrics is prohibitively expensive for a lot of people, but off-lease pricing can be very attractive! It'll be interesting to see what 3 year old e-Golf pricing is, when the time comes.
 

bizzle

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May 21, 2013
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Southern California
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2015 GSW SEL (totaled), 2013 Touareg Executive
I anticipate three year old eGolfs will end up scrapped. We'll have an option of buying ours for 11k end of lease but I doubt we'll buy unless that's dropped to 6-8k.

There's no reason to buy it for any more money than that. We can just get another lease with the latest tech, at least double range, and payments less than buying.

Similarly, who would buy our off lease for 12k when they can just buy a brand new one for 16k-20k?

Those 200 range cars are going to be 100 miles at freeway speeds with a/c if we're lucky.
 

oilhammer

Certified Volkswagen Nut & Vendor
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Location
outside St Louis, MO
TDI
There are just too many to list....
I anticipate three year old eGolfs will end up scrapped. We'll have an option of buying ours for 11k end of lease but I doubt we'll buy unless that's dropped to 6-8k.
There's no reason to buy it for any more money than that. We can just get another lease with the latest tech, at least double range, and payments less than buying.
Similarly, who would buy our off lease for 12k when they can just buy a brand new one for 16k-20k?
Those 200 range cars are going to be 100 miles at freeway speeds with a/c if we're lucky.

And some of us would rather not have payments at all.
 

nicklockard

Torque Dorque
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Aug 15, 2004
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Arizona
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SOLD 2010 Touareg Tdi w/factory Tow PCKG
The thing is that you want to encourage their use instead of, say, illegally driven cars. And, 20 mph isn't any faster than a bicycle downhill. (And, I mean, there's plenty of US states where ICE mopeds up to 30 mph and 5 bhp are legal to ride unregistered and without insurance or a license...) It's also worth noting that getting hit by a 20 mph e-bike is far less lethal than being hit by a car.

So, I'll take drunks on 20 mph e-bikes over drunks driving cars without licenses, which is what happens here. (Or, party plates - basically, drunks explicitly being given limited driving privileges because car driving is essentially mandatory in Ohio.)

The other thing would be a European e-bike - 25 km/h, 250 W max, and no throttle allowed, only pedal assist.


Well... The problem is just that, selling landlords on the idea. Tax incentives for them to do it would help, mind you. (And, you've also got some places where apartments only have street parking, so the municipality needs to do it.)

The other way to go would be a technical solution, although a difficult one that I've only seen done on e-bikes, Chinese scooters, and one European market light quadricycle (so it'd be a FMVSS 500 low speed vehicle here) - removable batteries that are small enough to carry inside to charge. This requires a very small vehicle though, to be practical.
I used to have a pedal electric bike with lighting much like this it had a 48 volt removeable lead acid battery. It topped out at 12 mph w/o pedaling and 22 mph with pedaling. I could easily cruise level ground at 16.5 mph. Back then it only cost $675. With lithium battery technology, it would be much more apartment friendly.

I used to take the battery out to charge in my 2nd floor apartment sometimes. Occasionally I could charge it in the laundry room on ground level w/o having to take the battery out since the owner was cool with it.
 

VeeDubTDI

Wanderluster, Traveler, TDIClub Enthusiast
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Springfield, VA
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‘18 Tesla Model 3D+, ‘14 Cadillac ELR, ‘13 Fiat 500e
Those are so cute. I pass by one several times a day as I take my dog for her walks.
I just want to pick it up and take it home. Unfortunately, I only have one hand since the other is holding my dog's leash.
I know! I love the little 500e.
 

oilhammer

Certified Volkswagen Nut & Vendor
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outside St Louis, MO
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There are just too many to list....
My wife loves the 500. I do too. If Fiat sold the diesel version here I'd probably already have a 500-shaped hole in my bank account. :eek:
 

nicklockard

Torque Dorque
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Arizona
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SOLD 2010 Touareg Tdi w/factory Tow PCKG
My wife loves the 500. I do too. If Fiat sold the diesel version here I'd probably already have a 500-shaped hole in my bank account. :eek:

I like the looks of them, but man they can't hold value. A 3 year old Fiat 500 Abarth edition goes for about 30% of its original retail price! What'w wrong with them?
 

oilhammer

Certified Volkswagen Nut & Vendor
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outside St Louis, MO
TDI
There are just too many to list....
I like the looks of them, but man they can't hold value. A 3 year old Fiat 500 Abarth edition goes for about 30% of its original retail price! What'w wrong with them?

All the more reason to find a slightly used one then. Not as bad a drop as some other cars though. Trucks in particular, specifically the big fancy ones. We (our shop) just found a customer a 2015 Ram 3500, diesel short 4dr 4WD, that was $63k new in late 2014 (November in service date), and we got it to our customer for around $38k. It has 18k miles. So in a year and a half, it lost $25k of its value. That's insane. But that type truck, and those similar from Ford and GM, are big sellers. :eek:

I think the Cadillac Catera, Lincoln LS, the "fancy" Kia and Hyundai models (like the Equus and Cadenza), and of course the Volkswagen Phaeton, were historically pretty quick money burners in that regard, too.
 

bhtooefr

TDIClub Enthusiast, ToofTek Inventor
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Newark, OH
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Conversely, the interesting thing is that when my dad was looking for a 3/4 ton extended cab long bed 4WD, he found that at the low end trim levels, new was barely more expensive than a 5 year old one, once you accounted for financing and how much the dealers could deal. (This is with gas engines, mind you, not diesels.)

It sounds like it's the added options that lose resale value more than anything...
 

CraziFuzzy

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Sep 1, 2011
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Jurupa Valley
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'09 JSW (GoneBack) - replaced with '15 Azera and '16 Fiat 500e.
It sounds like it's the added options that lose resale value more than anything...
That has always been the case. Options simply don't have near as much impact on the used market. Never have. At the end of the day, if the car is more than 2 years old, the only thing that matters is the model, the engine and transmission, and the miles.
 

oilhammer

Certified Volkswagen Nut & Vendor
Joined
Dec 11, 2001
Location
outside St Louis, MO
TDI
There are just too many to list....
It sounds like it's the added options that lose resale value more than anything...

Yep. The only thing in the pickup world that seems to hold much of its original value is the 4WD option. At least for a few years, anyway. That option may be around $2500 new, but after five years, often a 4WD truck will still be worth nearly that much more than an otherwise identical 2WD version would.
 

bubbagumpshrimp

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Jul 12, 2013
Location
Virginia
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'13 Jetta TDI
Yep. The only thing in the pickup world that seems to hold much of its original value is the 4WD option. At least for a few years, anyway. That option may be around $2500 new, but after five years, often a 4WD truck will still be worth nearly that much more than an otherwise identical 2WD version would.
Yup. 4WD trucks are great, resale value wise. Hell...I'm looking at my old '01 F-150 Lariat SuperCrew 4WD on Craigslist at the moment. Literally my old truck that I traded in on my TDI (funny timing to see it pop-up).

I bought it in 2012 for $11k. It's for sale four years later for $10k. While I think it's listed a bit high, I think they'll probably get what they're asking, because it's only got 138k at this point, and it is clean. Like get compliments wherever you take it clean. ~$10k for a 16+ model year old truck, lol. Try that (1/3 residual value after 16+ years) with any other vehicle.
 

IndigoBlueWagon

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South of Boston
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'97 Passat, '99.5 Golf, '02 Jetta Wagon, '15 GSW
~$10k for a 16+ model year old truck, lol. Try that (1/3 residual value after 16+ years) with any other vehicle.
There are two Jetta Wagons for sale on this site now for $10K. Also priced high, IMO, but it can happen. Probably neither were over $20K new, both 14 years old.
 

MrSprdSheet

Veteran Member
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Sep 6, 2005
Location
East Coast
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'09 JSW TDI
Do you know how few apartments in Boston come with parking? Almost none. That excludes a large number of potential users whose driving habits are probably a good fit with EVs. Parking spaces in some better neighborhoods are sold as condos, usually for well over $100K. Street parking is the norm. Most employers in the city don't provide parking, either, although people who live and work in the city are more inclined to use public transportation. Reverse commuters may have better luck finding employers with parking and charging stations.
For those still choosing to have a car, in Boston, there are plenty of parking spaces once you get closer to Rt128 (~17 miles out). The problem is parking downtown which averages $500/month, or justifying $4-6/day before boarding a train. Local news last night was saying ~$2,200/month is now avg 2bdrm rent (for the fashionable kids who don't want a car anymore). At some rate of rent increase, people will keep putting up with the >2hrs/day, ~25mph average speeds of their commutes. This is the domain of PHEV/BEV and automation.

1st house was a 2-fam. No question I would build/buy and install 240V charging, if I got back into renting out a unit(s). For the very reason you cite. MA is a CARB state, like >dozen are these days. That means 10 year warranties on EV batteries, state incentives, and public charging initiatives. EV's will continue to become more popular, and charging would practically guarantee tenants.
 
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