twigless
Veteran Member
- Joined
- Jan 30, 2007
- Location
- Florida
- TDI
- 2000 Golf GLS TDI 5-speed, 2002 Jetta GLS TDI auto (wife's)
This is the most ambitious estimate I've heard so far... sounds great to me! I actually agree with these numbers. I think that their guesses on hybrids are pretty close to accurate as well. As standard gas vehicles get more fuel-saving items like DSG-type transmissions (vs traditional autobox), direct injection, cylinder deactivation, brake regeneration to power the alternator, better cD, etc, I think that the current appeal of hybrids will wane.
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http://www.autoweek.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080414/FREE/771344130/1530/FREE
Panel predicts diesels could hit 20 percent of U.S. market by 2020
By GREG MIGLIORE
About 20 percent of the vehicles sold in the United States could run on diesel fuels by the end of the next decade, a panel of auto executives said on Monday, April 14, at SAE World Congress in Detroit.
The panel also expects hybrid technologies to be in about 10 percent of vehicles by 2020 as consumers' thirst for fuel-sipping products continues, members said.
The figures were suggested by BorgWarner CEO Tim Manganello. Other panelists, including Ford product chief Derrick Kuzak and Ed Mantey, a Toyota engineering vice president, agreed with the forecast.
Manganello based his predictions on patterns in European markets, where consumers have made diesels popular.
"Europe is a leading indicator for powertrain technology," he said.
Meanwhile, Magna co-CEO Don Walker suggested there could be as many as 765,000 hybrids on U.S. roads by 2013, though he expects diesels and other technologies to ultimately win out with consumers.
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http://www.autoweek.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080414/FREE/771344130/1530/FREE
Panel predicts diesels could hit 20 percent of U.S. market by 2020
By GREG MIGLIORE
About 20 percent of the vehicles sold in the United States could run on diesel fuels by the end of the next decade, a panel of auto executives said on Monday, April 14, at SAE World Congress in Detroit.
The panel also expects hybrid technologies to be in about 10 percent of vehicles by 2020 as consumers' thirst for fuel-sipping products continues, members said.
The figures were suggested by BorgWarner CEO Tim Manganello. Other panelists, including Ford product chief Derrick Kuzak and Ed Mantey, a Toyota engineering vice president, agreed with the forecast.
Manganello based his predictions on patterns in European markets, where consumers have made diesels popular.
"Europe is a leading indicator for powertrain technology," he said.
Meanwhile, Magna co-CEO Don Walker suggested there could be as many as 765,000 hybrids on U.S. roads by 2013, though he expects diesels and other technologies to ultimately win out with consumers.